Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 20.027282 22.672561 25.556865 28.938585 32.799134 37.073850 42.172842
2025-02-09 15.968559 19.413330 23.460804 28.580159 34.901101 42.473626 52.269049
2025-02-16 12.723615 16.464205 21.157559 27.506801 35.915605 46.730511 61.791481
2025-02-23 10.400728 14.238700 19.349646 26.702174 37.088995 51.357291 72.648606
2025-03-02 8.685987 12.517847 17.906138 26.109272 38.412687 56.385946 85.008797
2025-03-09 7.450067 11.256514 16.885065 25.917324 40.244930 62.423630 99.994405
2025-03-16 6.450931 10.179642 15.954739 25.686068 41.950911 68.535589 116.279586
2025-03-23 5.851316 9.622419 15.726768 26.505860 45.452684 78.097395 140.166174
2025-03-30 5.202016 8.882319 15.084804 26.518407 47.572587 85.668053 162.068245
2025-04-06 4.549284 8.038278 14.138834 25.837173 48.322926 90.897118 180.634292
2025-04-13 4.033211 7.359284 13.380108 25.364783 49.359481 96.802612 201.698553
2025-04-20 3.748356 7.060631 13.266217 26.086900 52.824434 108.045359 236.186580
2025-04-27 3.527754 6.863729 13.336774 27.229704 57.446192 122.728963 282.036060
2025-05-04 3.241251 6.498327 13.027508 27.548370 60.398447 134.447693 323.968674
2025-05-11 2.904451 5.985138 12.347986 26.970221 61.275932 141.715642 356.966666
2025-05-18 2.620554 5.544176 11.758508 26.498147 62.320471 149.599961 393.550140
2025-05-25 2.380315 5.164970 11.249875 26.130490 63.554438 158.207967 434.300161
2025-06-01 2.192726 4.877210 10.904447 26.094176 65.608934 169.324078 484.992970
2025-06-08 2.020071 4.600629 10.546723 25.970928 67.423641 180.195575 537.917740
2025-06-15 1.929368 4.503029 10.595108 26.880855 72.165593 200.088689 623.976629
2025-06-22 1.797774 4.290294 10.336673 26.950659 74.612980 213.997094 694.886582
2025-06-29 1.641094 3.996226 9.837976 26.296957 74.882115 221.554258 746.780147
2025-07-06 1.510948 3.752488 9.434843 25.842932 75.657217 230.832708 807.397823